Log in

Log in

New!

China's Savings Glut and the A Share Market

China has an unprecedented household savings glut with more than a trillion dollars' worth of extra liquidity flooding into the financial system every year. So far this money has "nowhere to go" and has depressed interest rates and yields to rock-bottom levels. And the authorities have been unsuccessful both in trying to revive the property market and in pushing a bona-fide consumption boom.

The main "viable" channel left is the local A share market. The growth environment is weak and corporate earnings are flat - but then the domestic equity index has never been particularly correlated with growth in China, in part because of the overwhelming role of liquidity in pushing valuations around. With the combination of record-high excess liquidity and still-moderate multiples in the market today, this is a meaningful driver of potential further gains ... and a big reason why we continue to hold the A share index in our own portfolio.

China's Savings Glut and the A Share Market (2026 H2 Update)

Monthly Chartbook

Our monthly guide to emerging markets by charts and data.

EM Monthly Chartbook (July 2026)

China Chartbook

Our monthly guide to China by charts and data.

China Monthly Chartbook (July 2026)

Frontier Chartbook

Our quarterly guide to frontier markets by charts and data.

EM Frontier Chartbook (2026 Q2 Edition)

Annual Chartbook

Our annual guide to emerging markets by charts and data.

EM Annual Chartbook (2026 Edition)