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Is There Upside Left in Singapore?
In contrast to Southeast Asian neighbors, the Singapore equity market has continued to track the broad MSCI Emerging Markets boom, with indices up in 2026 as a whole albeit selling off in recent months. Do we still want to hold the market?
As before, the big question is the direction of the local property and construction. Singapore is not a rapidly growing consumption or tourism economy; instead, it's been the rebound in property prices and construction that have driven local gains to date. We do see more evident signs that construction momentum is now peaking - but with immigration and credit data remaining supportive we also still see room for further price upside.
As a result we'll continue to hold the equity market for now, but are becoming somewhat more cautious on the outlook and will be watching credit and earnings data for signs of fading growth.
Is There Upside Left in Singapore? (PDF)
How To Think About Emerging Markets (2026 Edition)
An opinionated guide to emerging markets
What is an Emerging Market? (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 1)What's Wrong With EM? (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 2)
Who Makes It, Who Doesn't (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 3)
Is Globalization Over? (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 4)
Four EM Growth Fallacies (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 5)
An Austrian Primer: Savings, Debt and Default (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 6)
Life After China (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 7)
Macro and EM Equities (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 8)
Macro and EM Debt (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 9)
Macro and EM Currencies (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 10)
How To Think About China (2025 Edition)
... and an opinionated guide to China
Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 1)A State Economy or a Market Economy? (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 2)
The End of the Miracle (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 3)
Property Boom and Property Bust (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 4)
Debt, Banks and the Budget (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 5)
The Future of the Renminbi and the Closing of China (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 6)
The Aging Crisis (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 7)
How to Follow Macro Policy (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 8)
Why Haven't I Made Money? (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 9)
